Non-Farm-Payroll fur Trading nutzen- Binare Optionen 2020

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U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls

Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Release Date Time Actual Forecast Previous
Apr 03, 2020 (Mar) 08:30 -701K -100K 275K
Mar 06, 2020 (Feb) 09:30 273K 175K 273K
Feb 07, 2020 (Jan) 09:30 225K 160K 147K
Jan 10, 2020 (Dec) 09:30 145K 164K 256K
Dec 06, 2020 (Nov) 09:30 266K 186K 156K
Nov 01, 2020 (Oct) 08:30 128K 89K 180K

By Gina Lee – Australia announced a decrease of its infection rate from 30% to 5%, and South Korea reported less than 50 new cases for the first time since February. Japan is expected.

By Gina Lee – Gold prices were little changed on Monday morning as traders remained cautious amid the continuous economic turmoil. Gold futures were up by 0.04% at $1,646.3 by 9:26 PM.

By Peter Nurse – U.S. stocks are set to open lower Friday, as investors focus on the mounting damage to the economy as global coronavirus cases leap past one million. At 7:10 AM ET (1100.


There’s a lot to talk about today. Equities traded sharply higher on the back of another big announcement from the Fed. The greenback traded lower in response against all of the major currencies. The.

The Gold futures contract fluctuated on Wednesday, as it gained 0.04%. The market is going sideways following its recent rally. The price of gold has reached a new medium-term high of $1,742.60 on.

Thursday could be an extremely volatile day for the USD/CAD. Tomorrow, Canada releases the Employment Change for March, which is expected to be -350,000 versus +30,300 in February. As with the U.S.

Nonfarm Payrolls Discussion

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How to Succeed with Binary Options Trading 2020

Welcome to the largest expert guide to binary options and binary trading online. has educated traders globally since 2020 and all our articles are written by professionals who make a living in the finance industry and online trading. We have close to a thousand articles and reviews to guide you to be a more profitable trader in 2020 no matter what your current experience level is. If you wish to discuss trading or brokers with other traders, we also have the world’s largest forum with over 20 000 members and lots of daily activity. Read on to get started trading today!

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Quick Links

What is a Binary Option and How Do You Make Money?

A binary option is a fast and extremely simple financial instrument which allows investors to speculate on whether the price of an asset will go up or down in the future, for example the stock price of Google, the price of Bitcoin, the USD/GBP exchange rate, or the price of gold. The time span can be as little as 60 seconds, making it possible to trade hundreds of times per day across any global market.

Before you place a trade you know exactly how much you stand to gain if your prediction is correct, usually 70-95% – if you invest $100 you will receive a credit of $170 – $195 on a successful trade. This makes risk management and trading decisions much more simple. The outcome is always a Yes or No answer – you either win it all or you lose it all – hence it being a “binary” option. The risk and reward is known in advance and this structured payoff is one of the attractions.

Exchange traded binaries are also now available, meaning traders are not trading against the broker.

To get started trading you first need a regulated broker account (or licensed). Pick one from the recommended brokers list, where only brokers that have shown themselves to be trustworthy are included. The top broker has been selected as the best choice for most traders.

If you are completely new to binary options you can open a demo account with most brokers, to try out their platform and see what it’s like to trade before you deposit real money.

Introduction Video – How to Trade Binary Options

These videos will introduce you to the concept of binary options and how trading works. If you want to know even more details, please read this whole page and follow the links to all the more in-depth articles. Binary trading does not have to be complicated, but as with any topic you can educate yourself to be an expert and perfect your skills.

Option Types

The most common type of binary option is the simple “Up/Down” trade. There are however, different types of option. The one common factor, is that the outcome will have a “binary” result (Yes or No). Here are some of the types available:

  • Up/Down or High/Low – The basic and most common binary option. Will a price finish higher or lower than the current price a the time of expiry.
  • In/Out, Range or Boundary – This option sets a “high” figure and “low” figure. Traders predict whether the price will finish within, or outside, of these levels (or ‘boundaries’).
  • Touch/No Touch – These have set levels, higher or lower than the current price. The trader has to predict whether the actual price will ‘touch’ those levels at any point between the time of the trade an expiry.
    Note with a touch option, that the trade can close before the expiry time – if the price level is touched before the option expires, then the “Touch” option will payout immediately, regardless of whether the price moves away from the touch level afterwards.
  • Ladder – These options behave like a normal Up/Down trade, but rather than using the current strike price, the ladder will have preset price levels (‘laddered’ progressively up or down).These can often be some way from the current strike price.As these options generally need a significant price move, payouts will often go beyond 100% – but both sides of the trade may not be available.

How to Trade – Step by Step Guide

Below is a step by step guide to placing a binary trade:

  1. Choose a broker – Use our broker reviews and comparison tools to find the best binary trading site for you.
  2. Select the asset or market to trade – Assets lists are huge, and cover Commodities, Stocks, Cryptocurrency, Forex or Indices. The price of oil, or the Apple stock price, for example.
  3. Select the expiry time – Options can expire anywhere between 30 seconds up to a year.
  4. Set the size of the trade – Remember 100% of the investment is at risk so consider the trade amount carefully.
  5. Click Call / Put or Buy / Sell – Will the asset value rise or fall? Some broker label buttons differently.
  6. Check and confirm the trade – Many brokers give traders a chance to ensure the details are correct before confirming the trade.

Choose a Broker

Options fraud has been a significant problem in the past. Fraudulent and unlicensed operators exploited binary options as a new exotic derivative. These firms are thankfully disappearing as regulators have finally begun to act, but traders still need to look for regulated brokers.

Note! Don’t EVER trade with a broker or use a service that’s on our blacklist and scams page, stick with the ones we recommend here on the site. Here are some shortcuts to pages that can help you determine which broker is right for you:

  • Compare all brokers – if you want to compare the features and offers of all recommended brokers.
  • Bonuses and Offers – if you want to make sure you get extra money to trade with, or other promotions and offers.
  • Low minimum deposit brokers – if you want to trade for real without having to deposit large sums of money.
  • Demo Accounts – if you want to try a trading platform “for real” without depositing money at all.
  • Halal Brokers – if you are one of the growing number of Muslim traders.

Asset Lists

The number and diversity of assets you can trade varies from broker to broker. Most brokers provide options on popular assets such as major forex pairs including the EUR/USD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD, as well as major stock indices such as the FTSE, S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial. Commodities including gold, silver, oil are also generally offered.

Individual stocks and equities are also tradable through many binary brokers. Not every stock will be available though, but generally you can choose from about 25 to 100 popular stocks, such as Google and Apple. These lists are growing all the time as demand dictates.

The asset lists are always listed clearly on every trading platform, and most brokers make their full asset lists available on their website. This information is also available within our reviews, including currency pairs.

Expiry Times

The expiry time is the point at which a trade is closed and settled. The only exception is where a ‘Touch’ option has hit a preset level prior to expiry. The expiry for any given trade can range from 30 seconds, up to a year. While binaries initially started with very short expiries, demand has ensured there is now a broad range of expiry times available. Some brokers even give traders the flexibility to set their own specific expiry time.

Expiries are generally grouped into three categories:

  • Short Term / Turbo – These are normally classed as any expiry under 5 minutes
  • Normal – These would range from 5 minutes, up to ‘end of day’ expiries which expire when the local market for that asset closes.
  • Long term – Any expiry beyond the end of the day would be considered long term. The longest expiry might be 12 months.


While slow to react to binary options initially, regulators around the world are now starting to regulate the industry and make their presence felt. The major regulators currently include:

  • Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) – UK regulator
  • Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySec) – Cyprus Regulator, often ‘passported’ throughout the EU, under MiFID
  • Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) – US regulator
  • Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC)

There are also regulators operating in Malta and the Isle of Man. Many other authorities are now taking a keen a interest in binaries specifically, notably in Europe where domestic regulators are keen to bolster the CySec regulation.

Unregulated brokers still operate, and while some are trustworthy, a lack of regulation is a clear warning sign for potential new customers.

Recently, ESMA (European Securities and Markets Authority) moved to ban the sale and marketing of binary options in the EU. The ban however, only applies to brokers regulated in the EU. This leaves traders two choices to keep trading: Firstly, they can trade with an unregulated firm – this is extremely high risk and not advisable. Some unregulated firms are responsible and honest, but many are not.

The second choice is to use a firm regulated by bodies outside of the EU. ASIC in Australia are a strong regulator – but they will not be implementing a ban. This means ASIC regulated firms can still accept EU traders. See our broker lists for regulated or trusted brokers in your region.

There is also a third option. Traders who register as ‘professional’ are exempt from the new ban. The ban is only designed to protect ‘retail’ investors. A professional trader can continue trading at EU regulated brokers such as IQ Option. To be classed as professional, an account holder must meet two of these three criteria:

  1. Open 10 or more trades per quarter, of €150 or more.
  2. Have assets of €500,000 or more
  3. Have worked for two years in a financial firm and have experience of financial products.

Strategies and Guides

We have a lot of detailed guides and strategy articles for both general education and specialized trading techniques. Below are a few to get you started if you want to learn the basic before you start trading. From Martingale to Rainbow, you can find plenty more on the strategy page.

Signals and Other Services

For further reading on signals and reviews of different services go to the signals page.

Beginners Guides

If you are totally new to the trading scene then watch this great video by Professor Shiller of Yale University who introduces the main ideas of options:

Education for beginners:

Types of Trades

How to Set Up a Trade

The ability to trade the different types of binary options can be achieved by understanding certain concepts such as strike price or price barrier, settlement, and expiration date. All trades have dates at which they expire.

When the trade expires, the behaviour of the price action according to the type selected will determine if it’s in profit (in the money) or in a loss position (out-of-the-money). In addition, the price targets are key levels that the trader sets as benchmarks to determine outcomes. We will see the application of price targets when we explain the different types.

There are three types of trades. Each of these has different variations. These are:

Let us take them one after the other.


Also called the Up/Down binary trade, the essence is to predict if the market price of the asset will end up higher or lower than the strike price (the selected target price) before the expiration. If the trader expects the price to go up (the “Up” or “High” trade), he purchases a call option. If he expects the price to head downwards (“Low” or “Down”), he purchases a put option. Expiry times can be as low as 5 minutes.

Please note: some brokers classify Up/Down as a different types, where a trader purchases a call option if he expects the price to rise beyond the current price, or purchases a put option if he expects the price to fall below current prices. You may see this as a Rise/Fall type on some trading platforms.


The In/Out type, also called the “tunnel trade” or the “boundary trade”, is used to trade price consolidations (“in”) and breakouts (“out”). How does it work? First, the trader sets two price targets to form a price range. He then purchases an option to predict if the price will stay within the price range/tunnel until expiration (In) or if the price will breakout of the price range in either direction (Out).

The best way to use the tunnel binaries is to use the pivot points of the asset. If you are familiar with pivot points in forex, then you should be able to trade this type.

Touch/No Touch

This type is predicated on the price action touching a price barrier or not. A “Touch” option is a type where the trader purchases a contract that will deliver profit if the market price of the asset purchased touches the set target price at least once before expiry. If the price action does not touch the price target (the strike price) before expiry, the trade will end up as a loss.

A “No Touch” is the exact opposite of the Touch. Here you are betting on the price action of the underlying asset not touching the strike price before the expiration.

There are variations of this type where we have the Double Touch and Double No Touch. Here the trader can set two price targets and purchase a contract that bets on the price touching both targets before expiration (Double Touch) or not touching both targets before expiration (Double No Touch). Normally you would only employ the Double Touch trade when there is intense market volatility and prices are expected to take out several price levels.

Some brokers offer all three types, while others offer two, and there are those that offer only one variety. In addition, some brokers also put restrictions on how expiration dates are set. In order to get the best of the different types, traders are advised to shop around for brokers who will give them maximum flexibility in terms of types and expiration times that can be set.

Mobile Apps

Trading via your mobile has been made very easy as all major brokers provide fully developed mobile trading apps. Most trading platforms have been designed with mobile device users in mind. So the mobile version will be very similar, if not the same, as the full web version on the traditional websites.

Brokers will cater for both iOS and Android devices, and produce versions for each. Downloads are quick, and traders can sign up via the mobile site as well. Our reviews contain more detail about each brokers mobile app, but most are fully aware that this is a growing area of trading. Traders want to react immediately to news events and market updates, so brokers provide the tools for clients to trade wherever they are.

Trading FAQ

What Does Binary Options Mean?

“Binary options” means, put very simply, a trade where the outcome is a ‘binary’ Yes/No answer. These options pay a fixed amount if they win (known as “in the money”), but the entire investment is lost, if the binary trade loses. So, in short, they are a form of fixed return financial options.

How Does a Stock Trade Work?

Steps to trade a stock via a binary option;

  1. Select the stock or equity.
  2. Identify the desired expiry time (The time the option will end).
  3. Enter the size of the trade or investment
  4. Decide if the value will rise or fall and place a put or call

The steps above will be the same at every single broker. More layers of complexity can be added, but when trading equities the simple Up/Down trade type remains the most popular.

Put and Call Options

Call and Put are simply the terms given to buying or selling an option. If a trader thinks the underlying price will go up in value, they can open a call. But where they expect the price to go down, they can place a put trade.

Different trading platforms label their trading buttons different, some even switch between Buy/Sell and Call/Put. Others drop the phrases put and call altogether. Almost every trading platform will make it absolutely clear which direction a trader is opening an option in.

Are Binary Options a Scam?

As a financial investment tool they in themselves not a scam, but there are brokers, trading robots and signal providers that are untrustworthy and dishonest.

The point is not to write off the concept of binary options, based solely on a handful of dishonest brokers. The image of these financial instruments has suffered as a result of these operators, but regulators are slowly starting to prosecute and fine the offenders and the industry is being cleaned up. Our forum is a great place to raise awareness of any wrongdoing.

These simple checks can help anyone avoid the scams:

  • Marketing promising huge returns. This is clear warning sign. Binaries are a high risk / high reward tool – they are not a “make money online” scheme and should not be sold as such. Operators making such claims are very likely to be untrustworthy.
  • Know the broker. Some operators will ‘funnel’ new customer to a broker they partner with, so the person has no idea who their account is with. A trader should know the broker they are going to trade with! These funnels often fall into the “get rich quick” marketing discussed earlier.
  • Cold Calls. Professional brokers will not make cold calls – they do not market themselves in that way. Cold calls will often be from unregulated brokers interested only in getting an initial deposit. Proceed extremely carefully if joining a company that got in contact this way. This would include email contact as well – any form of contact out of the blue.
  • Terms and Conditions. When taking a bonus or offer, read the full terms and conditions. Some will include locking in an initial deposit (in addition to the bonus funds) until a high volume of trades have been made. The first deposit is the trader’s cash – legitimate brokers would not claim it as theirs before any trading. Some brokers also offer the option of cancelling a bonus if it does not fit the needs of the trader.
  • Do not let anyone trade for you. Avoid allowing any “account manager” to trade for you. There is a clear conflict of interest, but these employees of the broker will encourage traders to make large deposits, and take greater risks . Traders should not let anyone trade on their behalf.

Which Are The Best Trading Strategies?

Binary trading strategies are unique to each trade. We have a strategy section, and there are ideas that traders can experiment with. Technical analysis is of use to some traders, combined with charts, indicators and price action research. Money management is essential to ensure risk management is applied to all trading. Different styles will suit different traders and strategies will also evolve and change.

There is no single “best” strategy. Traders need to ask questions of their investing aims and risk appetite and then learn what works for them.

Are Binary Options Gambling?

This will depend entirely on the habits of the trader. With no strategy or research, then any short term investment is going to win or lose based only on luck. Conversely, a trader making a well researched trade will ensure they have done all they can to avoid relying on good fortune.

Binary options can be used to gamble, but they can also be used to make trades based on value and expected profits. So the answer to the question will come down to the trader.

Advantages of Binary Trading

The main benefit of binaries is the clarity of risk and reward and the structure of the trade.

Minimal Financial Risk

If you have traded forex or its more volatile cousins, crude oil or spot metals such as gold or silver, you will have probably learnt one thing: these markets carry a lot of risk and it is very easy to be blown off the market. Things like leverage and margin, news events, slippages and price re-quotes, etc can all affect a trade negatively. The situation is different in binary options trading. There is no leverage to contend with, and phenomena such as slippage and price re-quotes have no effect on binary option trade outcomes. This reduces the risk in binary option trading to the barest minimum.


The binary options market allows traders to trade financial instruments spread across the currency and commodity markets as well as indices and bonds. This flexibility is unparalleled, and gives traders with the knowledge of how to trade these markets, a one-stop shop to trade all these instruments.


A binary trade outcome is based on just one parameter: direction. The trader is essentially betting on whether a financial asset will end up in a particular direction. In addition, the trader is at liberty to determine when the trade ends, by setting an expiry date. This gives a trade that initially started badly the opportunity to end well. This is not the case with other markets. For example, control of losses can only be achieved using a stop loss. Otherwise, a trader has to endure a drawdown if a trade takes an adverse turn in order to give it room to turn profitable. The simple point being made here is that in binary options, the trader has less to worry about than if he were to trade other markets.

Greater Control of Trades

Traders have better control of trades in binaries. For example, if a trader wants to buy a contract, he knows in advance, what he stands to gain and what he will lose if the trade is out-of-the-money. This is not the case with other markets. For example, when a trader sets a pending order in the forex market to trade a high-impact news event, there is no assurance that his trade will be filled at the entry price or that a losing trade will be closed out at the exit stop loss.

Higher Payouts

The payouts per trade are usually higher in binaries than with other forms of trading. Some brokers offer payouts of up to 80% on a trade. This is achievable without jeopardising the account. In other markets, such payouts can only occur if a trader disregards all rules of money management and exposes a large amount of trading capital to the market, hoping for one big payout (which never occurs in most cases).


In order to trade the highly volatile forex or commodities markets, a trader has to have a reasonable amount of money as trading capital. For instance, trading gold, a commodity with an intra-day volatility of up to 10,000 pips in times of high volatility, requires trading capital in tens of thousands of dollars. However, binary options has much lower entry requirements, as some brokers allow people to start trading with as low as $10.

Disadvantages of Binary Trading

Reduced Trading Odds for Sure-Banker Trades

The payouts for binary options trades are drastically reduced when the odds for that trade succeeding are very high. While it is true that some trades offer as much as 85% payouts per trade, such high payouts are possible only when a trade is made with the expiry date set at some distance away from the date of the trade. Of course in such situations, the trades are more unpredictable.

Lack of Good Trading Tools

Some brokers do not offer truly helpful trading tools such as charts and features for technical analysis to their clients. Experienced traders can get around this by sourcing for these tools elsewhere; inexperienced traders who are new to the market are not as fortunate. This is changing for the better though, as operators mature and become aware of the need for these tools to attract traders.

Limitations on Risk Management

Unlike in forex where traders can get accounts that allow them to trade mini- and micro-lots on small account sizes, many binary option brokers set a trading floor; minimum amounts which a trader can trade in the market. This makes it easier to lose too much capital when trading binaries. As an illustration, a forex broker may allow you to open an account with $200 and trade micro-lots, which allows a trader to expose only acceptable amounts of his capital to the market. However, you will be hard put finding many binary brokers that will allow you to trade below $50, even with a $200 account. In this situation, four losing trades will blow the account.

Cost of Losing Trades

Unlike in other markets where the risk/reward ratio can be controlled and set to give an edge to winning trades, the odds of binary options tilt the risk-reward ratio in favour of losing trades.

Trade Corrections

When trading a market like the forex or commodities market, it is possible to close a trade with minimal losses and open another profitable one, if a repeat analysis of the trade reveals the first trade to have been a mistake. Where binaries are traded on an exchange, this is mitigated however.

Spot Forex vs Binary Trading

These are two different alternatives, traded with two different psychologies, but both can make sense as investment tools. One is more TIME centric and the other is more PRICE centric. They both work in time/price but the focus you will find from one to the other is an interesting split. Spot forex traders might overlook time as a factor in their trading which is a very very big mistake. The successful binary trader has a more balanced view of time/price, which simply makes him a more well rounded trader. Binaries by their nature force one to exit a position within a given time frame win or lose which instills a greater focus on discipline and risk management. In forex trading this lack of discipline is the #1 cause for failure to most traders as they will simply hold losing positions for longer periods of time and cut winning positions in shorter periods of time. In binary options that is not possible as time expires your trade ends win or lose. Below are some examples of how this works.

Above is a trade made on the EUR/USD buying in an under 10 minute window of price and time. As a binary trader this focus will naturally make you better than the below example, where a spot forex trader who focuses on price while ignoring the time element ends up in trouble. This psychology of being able to focus on limits and the dual axis will aid you in becoming a better trader overall.

The very advantage of spot trading is its very same failure – the expansion of profits exponentially from 1 point in price. This is to say that if you enter a position that you believe will increase in value and the price does not increase yet accelerates to the downside, the normal tendency for most spot traders is to wait it out or worse add to the losing positions as they figure it will come back. The acceleration in time to the opposite desired direction causes most spot traders to be trapped in unfavourable positions, all because they do not plan time into their reasoning, and this leads to a complete lack of trading discipline.

The nature of binary options force one to have a more complete mindset of trading off both Y = Price Range and X = Time Range as limits are applied. They will simply make you a better overall trader from the start. Conversely on the flip side, they by their nature require a greater win rate as each bet means a 70-90% gain vs a 100% loss. So your win rate needs to be on average 54%-58% to break even. This imbalance causes many traders to overtrade or revenge trade which is just as bad as holding/adding to losing positions as a spot forex trader. To successfully trade you need to practice money management and emotional control.

In conclusion, when starting out as a trader, binaries might offer a better foundation to learn trading. The simple reasoning is that the focus on TIME/PRICE combined is like looking both ways when crossing the street. The average spot forex trader only looks at price, which means he is only looking in one direction before crossing the street. Learning to trade taking both time and price into consideration should aid in making one a much overall trader.

Non-farm Payrolls Change

Non-farm Payrolls Change

Roman Kravchenko

An experienced practicing trader specializing in trading major currency pairs and gold. Forex analyst with extensive experience in trust management and PAMM. At present, he is also trying himself as an investor. With since 2020.

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Торговля на нон фармах (Non farm payroll)

Отчет нон-фарм (Non farm payroll) является ключевым экономическим показателем для Соединенных Штатов. Он предназначен для учета общего количества занятых работников на территории США за вычетом фермеров, государственных служащих, работников частных домохозяйств и некоммерческих организаций.

Выход данной новости как правило сопровождается крайней степень волатильности, особенно по паре USD/JPY, а также золоту.

Что такое нон фарм?

Нон фарм (Nonfarm Payrolls) либо же отчет о заработной плате и количестве дополнительных рабочих мест в несельскохозяйственном секторе является одним из наиболее сильных и стабильных стимуляторов движений курсов валют на рынке Форекс. Интерес к этому показателю проявляют как рыночные обозреватели и аналитики, так и частные трейдеры, инвесторы, спекулянты и крупные фонды. Включенность в процесс широкого спектра рыночных игроков оказывает существенное влияние на колебания курса валютных пар.

Анализ отчетов нон-фарм

Высокий показатель заработной платы положительно отражается на американской экономике. Увеличение количества рабочих мест способствует более здоровому и стабильному экономическому росту. Потребители, у которых есть и деньги, и работа, склонны увеличивать свои расходы, что приводит к росту экономики.

Валютным трейдерам следует обращать внимание на нонфарм в случае положительного прироста по крайней мере, 100 000 рабочих мест в месяц. Любой релиз выше – скажем, 200 000 – поможет подогреть рост доллара США. Выход оценки выше заявленной всегда будет укреплять национальную валюту Америки.

Ожидаемое изменение показателя заработной платы зачастую вызывает смешанную реакцию валютных рынков. Форекс-инвесторы, даже в случае предсказуемого изменения показателей NFP, как правило, поддают анализу ряд косвенных аспектов, поскольку это позволяет получить более ясное понимание потенциальной направленности рынка. К примеру, одним из важных индикаторов является уровень безработицы и прирост заработных плат в обрабатывающей промышленности. Если в этом секторе снизиться уровень безработицы либо вырастет заработная плата, то необходимо смотреть в сторону укрепления доллара. Однако в случаях, когда уровень безработицы растет, а рабочие места сокращаются, следует ожидать проседание доллара, поскольку большая часть инвесторов будет переводить свои капиталы в другие валюты.

Конечно, это все при идеальном раскладе сценария, но в основном смотреть нон фармы надо в контексте, потому как именно отличие реального прогноза от ожидаемого играет главенствующую роль в реакции рынка. Тут зависимость прямая – чем больше реальные. вышедшие значения, отличаются от ожидаемых тем более бурной будет реакция на рынке на Non farm payroll. Многие относятся к этой новости как к возможности быстро получить прибыль, играя как будто в рулетку, просто поставив, либо вниз либо вверх перед новостью, на удачу. Хотя данная стратегия также чрева сливом, потому как на новостях пара может уйти в одном направлении. а потом резко вернуться.

Например, выше на графике показан выход нон фарм и реакция валютной пары USD/JPY, при которой сперва наблюдался небольшой рост. а уже после пара развернулась на более существенное падение.

Снижение заработной платы может нанести экономике США значительный ущерб. Как и любой другой экономический отчет, отрицательный нонфарм является негативным фактором влияния для крупнейшей экономики мира и соответственно для ее национальной валюты. Если отчет NFP покажет снижение количества рабочих мест более чем на 100 000, то это значит, что экономика США в данный период времени топчется на месте, и это в лучшем случае. В результате такого негативного фона трейдеры валютных рынков будут отдавать предпочтение высокодоходным валютам, а не американскому доллару.

Особенности торговли в период выхода новостей

При правильном подходе релизы торговых новостей могут принести трейдеру очень хорошую прибыль, однако стоит заметить, что для торговли на новостях нужно иметь крепкие нервы. Это связано с тем, что спекуляции в момент выхода экономических отчетов могут быть очень опасными. Опытные трейдеры знают, что в таких ситуациях лучше не торопиться, а выжидать момента снижения интенсивности колебаний валютного курса. Это позволит избежать высоких рисков и даст возможность заработать на реальном движении рынка. Цель данного подхода состоит в том, чтобы попытаться захватить рациональное движение цены после выхода новости, а не иррациональную волатильность, пронизывающую рынок в первые несколько минут после публикации отчета.

К тому же необходимо иметь надежного брокера, который не задавит реквотами на новостями, так как нон фарм вызывает повышенную волатильность. Ниже представлен пример по золоту на минутном графике.

Выпуск NFP происходит в первую пятницу каждого месяца в 8:30 EST (Северноамериканское Восточное Время, в 16-30 по мск. в зимнее время и в 15-30 в летнее время. Смотрите также тему: американская сессия торгов). Новостной релиз создает благоприятные условия для активных трейдеров, так как обеспечивает почти полную гарантию движения цены сразу после выхода. При этом необходимо понимать что, как и любой другой торговый метод, стратегии основанные на нонфарм не гарантируют прибыли.

К тому же нон фарм часто выходит во время экспирации месячных опционных контрактов, что в совокупности лишь усиливает волатильность и повышает непредсказуемость движения торговых инструментов.

Возможная торговая стратегия на Non farm payroll

Отчет NFP обычно затрагивает все основные валютные пары, однако одним из фаворитов среди трейдеров является пара USD/JPY. Логика стратегии заключается в выжидании и анализе того, что рынок усвоил после выхода новостей. После того, как начальные колебания уже прошли критическую фазу, и того, как в головах участников рынка сформировалось оценка показателей опубликованных в отчете, следует подключаться к текущему доминирующему движению.

Необходимо выжидать сигнал, указывающий на то, что рынок, уже определился с направлением, и только после этого можно присоединиться к выбранному курсу. Данный подход позволяет избегать слишком ранних входов и снижает вероятность резких смен направления тренда.

Стратегия подходит для торговли на 5 и 15-минутных графиках. Для приведенных ниже правил будет использоваться 15-минутный график, хотя те же правила применимы и к пятиминутному графику.

  • Во время формирования первого бара после отчета NFP никаких действий предпринимать не стоит (с 8:30 до 8:45 EST в случае 15-минутного графика).
  • Бар, сформированный в 8:30 – 8:45, будет иметь широкий диапазон. Трейдеры, как правило, ждут появления внутренней свечи, экстремальные цены которой будут находиться в диапазоне предыдущего бара.
  • При закрытии последующей свечи выше или ниже внутреннего бара следует совершить сделку в направлении пробоя. Входить в позицию можно уже в момент подхода цены к максимуму или минимуму предыдущей свечи, не дожидаясь закрытия текущего бара.
  • После входа в рынок необходимо установить 30-ти пипсовый стоп.
  • Не держать открытыми более двух сделок.
  • Цель – выждать прибыль. Как правило, первоначальное движение будет сохранять свою силу в течение четырех часов. Таким образом, выходить из рынка следует через четыре часа после входа. Если сила тренда не иссякла, и Вам кажется что цена продолжит свое движение, рекомендуется воспользоваться трейлинг-стопом, инструментом который позволит захватить максимум от импульса.

Это лишь один из возможных вариантов, при котором Вы должны понимать, что это высокорискованная позиция.

Далее в теме предлагаю поделиться Вашими стратегиями и в целом методом торговли на нон фарм. Или же Вы предпочитаете пропускать подобные волатильные участки рынка?

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